The only legitimate purpose of government
is to protect life and property from force and fraud. So if, for
example, a violent and unstable person was loose on the streets, wielding a
deadly weapon, threatening the lives of everyone, then government definitely
has a duty to constrain said person.
What if the "weapon" was a
deadly and highly contagious disease? Then
by extension, government would have a duty to constrain that person. Right?
Well, there are some … technicalities. Unlike a firearm, it is not clear or obvious
that an infected person is "brandishing" a deadly weapon. In fact, the person him/herself may not even
know they are infected. And we don't
even know yet how exactly Coronavirus is transmitted. And we lack the knowledge - and adequate resources
- to test effectively for it.
What is government to do?
To date, federal, state, and local
governments in the United States government have instituted a policy that goes something
like this: Isolate. Quarantine.
Stay home. Don't travel. Close the border. Don't go to work - with the exception of
"essential" businesses (more on that later). And of course:
make sure the government tosses out lots and lots and lots of money
(more on that later, also).
How's that working out? Well, let's talk economics for a moment. Clearly, the Coronavirus is having a
tremendous negative impact on every facet of society all over the world, and it
is impossible to objectively measure the devastation. But let's focus on just one statistic that
has some degree of credibility:
unemployment.
Using the U.S. government's own numbers,
the current national unemployment rate is estimated at 15%. (Many economists suspect that the actual amount
is much higher, but for now, we'll use this number.) Out of a population of 300 million, that
means that 45 Million Americans are out of work. That's an awful lot of people unable to buy
groceries or pay the rent.
To date, there are about 1.4 Million known
cases of Coronavirus in the US. That
means that there are 32 unemployed Americans for every one case of COVID. There are also, to date, about 86 thousand
deaths attributed to COVID; that's 532 unemployed Americans for every one COVID
death.
Clearly, the economic damage caused by
government's "don't go to work" policy is out of proportion to the
medical reality. Granted, the pandemic
is not over; the number of cases and deaths surely will grow. But we got a long way to go before the number
of COVID patients remotely balances the number of unemployed people.
How
do politicians justify this? For those Liberals
who love Big Government, the Coronavirus is the Ultimate Gift From Heaven. What a wonderful opportunity to grab power
over the lives and wealth of the citizenry!
To finally get rid of all those mean, nasty, employers, and make
everyone dependent on government for their livelihoods, rather than for-profit
businesses. What a golden, once-in-a
lifetime chance to finally raise federal spending out of those measly, stingy single-digit
$Trillion-dollar budget figures and get it up into the $Tens of Trillions, or better
yet, the $Hundreds of Trillions, where it belongs! (Too bad that the so-called
"Conservative" Republicans have also been talked into this scheme.) "Saving the economy" means that you
would have to watch your friends and loved ones all die, one by one, from this
cruel disease - knowing every minute that you could be the next victim. Oh and, if and when the virus does go into
remission, the Liberals can claim the credit!
Meanwhile, Trump and his Conservative allies
are - at least partially - correct. What
good does it do, they say, to survive the virus only to find ourselves in
poverty because the economy has been wrecked? And of course, if the virus numbers do indeed go
down before the November election, Trump will surely claim all the credit. If not, then he will blame it all on the
Democrats and the "fake" news media.
Politics never changes.
Those
are, essentially, the two sides of this debate.
So where am I going with this?
Here is the bottom line:
This is not a job for government. The government does not care a flip about
your health and wealth. Government only
wants to accumulate more power. The two
major political factions simply have different strategies to accomplish that
goal.
The proper way to figure out how best to
allow the economy to prosper while simultaneously minimizing the virus spread
is the same way humanity has effectively solved EVERY problem that has come its
way since the dawn of time: Let the people
figure it out. The free market is
constantly searching for new, better, innovative ways to make us all healthier,
wealthier, happier, and more comfortable, and the market will figure out
optimal solutions to beat this virus.
The desire for a prosperous economy never
went away - yet all the polls show that a majority of citizens are willing to make
necessary sacrifices to beat the virus. To
find the "sweet spot", we need to treat people like adults. Let them to figure out the best balance between
the risk and the reward, and the best procedures and technology that allows
society to work while keeping the virus at bay. And of course get out of the way and let them
find a medicine that will work.
Personal responsibility is the
"fuel" that will empower the market to beat the virus. Those who refuse to accept responsibility for
their actions and ignore the virus remediation guidelines will suffer their deserved
fate.
Now I know what you're thinking: Personal responsibility has its limits. We're talking about a virus here that cares
not how responsible you may be! All it
takes is one stupid, irresponsible scofflaw who happens to be infected, and the
entire community suffers for it. The
argument can be made that we're now back to square one, where government has a
role to ENFORCE the guidelines.
But that argument is fallacious for the
reasons I have stated repeatedly: at its
heart, government does not care about you.
Politicians are not super-human gods who know best how we should run our
lives. Or spend the national wealth.
The simple presence of some law on the
books won't stop the irresponsible scofflaws described above. Murder and robbery, for example, have ALWAYS
been crimes, yet the scofflaws in our society routinely ignore those laws.
The best way to counteract irresponsible actions
and urge those offenders to amend their dangerous habits is by fostering societal
norms. Yes, we have scofflaws that
murder and rob, but fortunately, murderers and robbers are in the minority. Why? NOT
because the government says so, but rather, because most of us were taught from
an early age that these things are simply wrong.
It's like a sociological variation of
"herd immunity". That is the
term applied when a large enough proportion of the population is immune to a
disease so that nearly everyone is relatively safe from it. Similarly, when a large enough proportion of
the population understands that some action is wrong, then nearly everyone is
relatively safe. You could call it "herd
morality", or "herd awareness".
It explains, for example, why so
many of us are willing to protect the environment from pollution and litter,
even if doing so is inconvenient and costly. And it could apply just as well to
discouraging behavior that could spread a contagious disease. But it requires teaching correct behavior, preferably
at an early age.
Figuring out how live in the age of Coronavirus
will be a challenge. Some formerly normal
activities such as going to church, or a ball game or a concert, or riding
public transportation, will be tough, as "social distancing" there is rather
impracticable. But let the creative
human imagination, the same force that created computers and all the amazing
innovations that we take for granted, figure out a way - NOT politicians and
bureaucrats.
No comments:
Post a Comment